The SUN HK : No super typhoon, but T4 may be raised when ‘Rolly’ moves across PHL

30 October 2020

By The SUN

PAGASA's 5pm weather bulletin today, Oct 30

Typhoon Rolly (International name, Goni) continues to intensify as it moves toward the Philippines ahead of its expected landfall in Aurora province on Sunday evening or early Monday morning.

At 5pm today, Oct 30, Rolly was forecast to move west-southwest until tomorrow morning, with winds of 165 kilometers per hour near the center and gusts of up to 205 kph.

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It will then turn west-northwest as it moves over the sea off the coast of the Bicol Region, towards the eastern coast of Aurora-Quezon area.

PAGASA says the typhoon will continue to intensify prior to landfall, when its winds are expected to peak at between 175-195 kph. This could lead to the hoisting of Signal No 3 or 4 (second highest) as the typhoon passes through the country.

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But the state weather bureau discounted a forecast from the US Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecast earlier today that Rolly will pick up strength on Saturday, with winds of 240.76 kph, thereby reaching super typhoon category.

The USN said this will occur briefly over open water as Rolly moves nearer to the eastern part of Luzon. It will then weaken into a typhoon with winds of 212 kph before touching land.

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In the Philippines, Signal No 4 is hoisted when a typhoon packs winds of between 171-220 kph while the highest, Signal No 5, is raised when the winds are greater than 220kph.

PAGASA said the trough of the typhoon will bring light to moderate, sometimes heavy rains over Bicol region, Visayas, Caraga, northern Mindanao, and Zamboanga peninsula.

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The rains could intensify beginning Saturday or Sunday over northern and central Luzon and Bicol region, especially those along its track.

Storm surge of up to 2 meters may also be experienced over the coastal areas of Aurora, Quezon, Marinduque, Bicol Region, and Northern Samar.

PAGASA is also monitoring another tropical storm that appears headed toward the country, but is not expected to bring severe weather within its territory in the next three days.

Tropical Storm “Atsani” is expected to enter Philippine jurisdiction on Sunday or Monday, during which it will be given the local name “Siony.”